HUNCH token · contract 0x18EB4D473555dB32202e320A7acb77fa57B67141 Explorer ↗
Prediction markets · single-pool settlement

Back your
hunch.

Every market is one Uniswap V4 pool. YES and NO always add up to $1.00. When it resolves, the pool itself pays out — no separate redemption contract, no oracle to trust on payout.

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Built on Uniswap V4 hooks · hunchmarket.fun
Will BTC close above $120k in 2026?
trading · open
pool invariant — YES + NO = $1.00
YES$0.62
NO$0.38
Drag to move the implied probability. The two sides are forced to sum to $1.00 by the hook's swap curve — buying YES is selling NO, in the same pool.

Trending markets

Odds mirrored from real-world prediction markets. On Hunch, each runs as a single V4 pool with on-curve YES/NO pricing.

syncing odds…
The mechanism

Single-pool settlement collapse

One hook does the job of an AMM, an order book, and a redemption contract — on one pool, with one curve.

01 / trade

One pool, one invariant

The pool holds collateral against the YES token. A beforeSwap override replaces the AMM curve and enforces priceYES + priceNO = 1 on every trade. No LMSR, no conditional-token framework.

02 / resolve

The curve snaps

At resolution the hook flips a resolved flag and the same beforeSwap override hard-collapses the curve: the winning side becomes worth exactly $1, the losing side $0.

03 / redeem

Payout is just a swap

Redeeming winnings is an ordinary swap against the collapsed curve. The pool that made the market is the settlement venue — nothing else to deploy, nothing else to trust.

Watch a market resolve
Before: a live two-sided curve. After: a 1/0 redemption curve. Same pool, same hook.
YES $0.62
NO $0.38
State: trading — holders trade YES/NO at live odds. Collateral in the pool always equals total open interest.

Why one pool wins

Today's on-chain prediction markets stack three separate layers. Hunch folds them into a single hook.

Conditional-token stack

  • × Split contract mints YES/NO complete sets from collateral
  • × A separate AMM or CLOB prices the outcome tokens
  • × A redemption contract pays out after an oracle reports
  • × Liquidity is fragmented across the split and the market
  • × Three surfaces to audit, three places things break

Hunch — one V4 hook

  • Collateral and pricing live in the same pool
  • The swap curve is the market maker
  • The same curve becomes the redemption rail at resolution
  • All liquidity sits in one place, working the whole time
  • One hook to audit — fewer trust assumptions
HUNCH token

The token behind Hunch

Fixed supply, minted once at deploy. No mint switch, no owner, no pause — a plain ERC-20 with permit. The contract is live on-chain.

Verify the address before you interact
0x18EB4D473555dB32202e320A7acb77fa57B67141
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